Blog

Guides on Kalshi autotrading, Kelly Criterion, edge detection, and prediction market strategy.

·6 min read

March Madness on Kalshi: Finding Edges in College Basketball Markets

Discover why March Madness creates massive inefficiencies in Kalshi prediction markets and how EventEdge helps you find mispriced contracts during the tournament.

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·8 min read

Automated Sports Betting: How Kalshi Bots Find and Trade Edges

Discover how Kalshi autotrading bots work, why automation matters for prediction market trading, and how EventEdge turns edge detection into passive income on Kalshi.

kalshi botautotradingautomated tradingeventedge
·6 min read

What is Kelly Criterion? A Sports Bettor's Guide to Optimal Sizing

Learn how the Kelly Criterion formula helps you calculate optimal position sizes on Kalshi prediction markets. Understand the math, see real examples, and discover how EventEdge automates Kelly sizing for every trade.

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·7 min read

How Prediction Markets Work: A Complete Guide to Kalshi

Understand how Kalshi prediction markets work, from binary contracts and orderbooks to implied probability. Learn how platforms like EventEdge use Kalshi's structure to find and trade edges automatically.

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·8 min read

What is Edge in Sports Betting? Finding Mispriced Kalshi Contracts

Learn what edge means in sports betting, how to calculate it using probability models, and how EventEdge automatically finds mispriced Kalshi contracts for profitable trading.

edge detectionkalshisports bettingeventedge
·9 min read

Kalshi vs Traditional Sportsbooks: Why Prediction Markets Have More Edge

Compare Kalshi prediction markets to DraftKings, FanDuel, and traditional sportsbooks. Learn why the orderbook model, lower fees, and market inefficiencies make Kalshi the better platform for finding edge.

kalshisportsbooksprediction marketscomparison
·7 min read

How Win Probability Models Work in Sports Betting

Learn how win probability models calculate real-time odds during live sporting events, what inputs they use, and how EventEdge leverages them to find mispriced contracts on Kalshi.

probability modelssports bettingedge detection
·7 min read

Position Sizing for Kalshi: How Much to Bet on Each Trade

Master position sizing for prediction markets using Kelly Criterion and fractional Kelly strategies. Learn how EventEdge automatically sizes trades on Kalshi for optimal bankroll growth.

position sizingkelly criterionkalshibankroll management
·7 min read

Why Win Rate Doesn't Matter (Expected Value Does)

Stop obsessing over win rate. Learn why expected value is the only metric that matters for profitable Kalshi trading, and how EventEdge optimizes for EV over win percentage.

expected valuewin ratesports betting mathkalshi
·8 min read

How to Read a Kalshi Orderbook: A Beginner's Guide

Learn how to read and interpret a Kalshi orderbook, understand bid-ask spreads, spot thin markets, and discover how EventEdge uses orderbook data to place smarter trades.

kalshiorderbooktrading basicsprediction markets
·8 min read

Paper Trading Prediction Markets: Test Your Strategy Before Risking Capital

Learn how to paper trade prediction markets on Kalshi, track hypothetical trades, and use EventEdge's alert mode to validate your strategy before committing real money.

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·7 min read

MLB Prediction Markets: Where Kalshi Inefficiencies Hide

Baseball's 162-game season creates unique prediction market inefficiencies on Kalshi. Learn where MLB edges hide and how EventEdge captures them systematically.

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·8 min read

NBA Win Probability: How Models Price Basketball Games on Kalshi

Understand how NBA win probability models work, why they disagree with Kalshi markets, and how EventEdge detects real-time edges in basketball prediction markets.

nbakalshiwin probabilitybasketballeventedge
·9 min read

Sports Betting Edge Decay: Why Kalshi Edges Disappear and How to Trade Them First

Learn why prediction market edges on Kalshi decay rapidly, what causes markets to correct, and how EventEdge's autotrading captures edges before they vanish.

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·9 min read

Auto-Trading vs Manual Trading on Kalshi: Which Makes More Passive Income?

Compare autotrading and manual trading on Kalshi prediction markets. Learn how EventEdge enables both approaches and which generates more passive income.

autotradingmanual tradingkalshipassive incomeeventedge